the maths of weather

it rained today.and yesterday.both in the evening,which is when the class bbq will happen.

lets put some e-maths to good use.

p(rain) = 1/2
p(not rain) = 1/2

whereby p represents probability

why 1/2 u may ask?either rain or dont rain what...LAME

therefore,taking into consideration that it rained heavily the past 2 days in the evening,
P(rain at class bbq) = 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 =1/8

1/8 is considerably smaller than 1/2 ,and therefore,i feel good.

and that my friends,is how to stupidly reassure yourself.

Hecate : "And you all know security Is mortals’ chiefest enemy." -Macbeth